Read the full book. La crise climatique est au centre de l’actualité de notre planète. Elle fonde les politiques nouvelles qu’il faut d’urgence mettre en œuvre et constitue un défi vertigineux pour les générations futures. Souvent perçue comme trop technique ou...
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The impact of the war in Ukraine on food security
Ukraine and Russia are major food exporters. They each provide about 6% of global market shares in food calories. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine puts this at risk. Even in February 2022, before the invasion, food prices were at a record high (Figure 1), in particular...
Can Europe manage if Russian oil and coal are cut off?
While the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom have announced embargoes or phase-out measures for Russian energy in the wake of the war in Ukraine, the European Union has held back, instead launching a new energy strategy, REPowerEU. This aims to reduce by...
China can see the limits of bailing out Russia’s economy
Read the full opinion published by Nikkei Asia.
A new Thessaloniki offer: the aspirations of Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine to join the EU
On Monday 28 February 2022, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Prime Minister Denis Shmygal and Speaker of Verkhovna Rada (Ukraine’s parliament) Ruslan Stefanchuk signed an application for Ukrainian membership in the EU and asked for “immediate accession via a...
Six reasons why backstopping Russia is an increasingly unattractive option for China
Since Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February, China has been ambiguous about its position on the conflict, while providing rhetorical support for the Russian narrative. At the United Nations, China stands out as the dominant economy that has not declared itself either...
China offers Russia respite but not a solution
This opinion was originally published in Spanish in El País.
How should the EU respond to Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine’s membership aspirations?
On 28 February 2022, the government of war-torn Ukraine signed an application for European Union membership, asking for immediate accession. Three days later, Georgia and Moldova also submitted applications. This is understandable given that all three former Soviet...
How to wean Europe off Russian gas as swiftly as possible
This op-ed was originally published in The New York Times. Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine has pressed Europe to fundamentally rethink how it keeps its lights on and its industries powered. Steps that would have sounded crazy only a few weeks ago — burning...
How Europe can defeat Russia’s divide and rule strategy in the long term
This opinion was originally published in Capital, Het Financieele Dagblad, Helsingin Sanomat, Le Monde and Rzeczpospolita.
War in Ukraine: reflections on the economic consequences for Russia
In this episode of the Sound of Economics Live Maria Demertzis and Guntram Wolff host Russian economist Sergei Guriev, to discuss how the war in Ukraine will affect the Russian economy.
Can China bail out Putin?
The unprecedented sanctions imposed on Russia in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine are likely to have devastating consequences. But this will depend on whether Russia manages to bypass the sanctions or, at very least, mitigate them. China offers a clear path to do...